When will my question about finding a 48-bit preimage of a particular hash function go <10% or >90% (for an hour)?
4
200Ṁ361Jul 4
7%
On June 28th (in PDT)
34%
On June 29th (in PDT)
11%
On June 30th (in PDT)
11%
On July 1st (in PDT)
11%
On July 2nd (in PDT)
11%
On July 3rd (in PDT)
16%
Later
1.1%
When will this question:
https://manifold.markets/PeterSchmidtNielsen/is-the-final-bit-of-my-48bit-secret
... first go <10% or >90%, and then stay there for a solid hour? In some sense, this is a proxy for the problem being solved, but with a lot of other shenanigans possible, of course.
(I will count based on the start time, so if it goes to 95% at 23:30 PDT on June 29th, and stays there for an hour, that counts as June 29th, not June 30th.)
Edit: Oops, I did not realize "other" was an answer when I created this problem. "other" will resolve to no.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000