Will Timnit Gebru change her mind on longtermism before July 1, 2022?
This market resolves to YES if Timnit Gebru puts out a statement declaring that she has changed her mind and decided that longtermism is a net positive for the world. A statement about rhetorical approaches, tone, etc. does not count, while a statement about how longtermism is a good concept which needs improvement in its execution does. May 6, 8:28am: UPDATE: After changing the subject (in this thread: https://twitter.com/timnitGebru/status/1520532465474883584) away from longtermism and towards a humanitarian crisis in Ethiopia, a recent thread of Gebru's has continued to criticize longtermism (https://twitter.com/timnitGebru/status/1522450716563976193?cxt=HHwWgsCtzYi36qAqAAAA).
Another one today: https://twitter.com/timnitGebru/status/1528004915125227521 There is absolutely not a 5% chance of her changing her mind.