Resolution criteria

MBG (Makan Bergizi Gratis) is Indonesia's free nutritious meals program launched in January 2025 by President Prabowo Subianto. This market resolves YES if the program receives zero budget allocation or is formally discontinued by the Indonesian government before January 1, 2027. This includes complete elimination of funding, suspension of operations, or official cancellation by presidential or parliamentary action.

Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Indonesian Ministry of Finance, the National Nutrition Agency (BGN), or the President's office regarding budget allocations and program status. Sources: Indonesian Ministry of Finance official statements, BGN official announcements, and major Indonesian news outlets covering government budget decisions.

The market resolves NO if the program retains any budget allocation for 2026 or continues operating into 2027, regardless of funding level or program scope.

Background

The government set aside Rp 171 trillion in 2025, with plans to increase the budget to 300 trillion Indonesian rupiah (about $18 billion) for 2026. The 2026 budget will be inserted through the national education budget, with significant allocations diverted from teacher training, school infrastructure, and curriculum development, done without parliamentary debate.

Considerations

The program's rollout was closely tied to campaign narratives, and its execution involved actors affiliated with political parties and security institutions, with several MBG contracts awarded to foundations with links to retired military officers and partisan networks. The government has stated it remains fully committed to the MBG program, with the 2026 allocation of Rp 268 trillion plus Rp 67 trillion in reserves. However, to ensure sustainability and long-term effectiveness, the implementation risks becoming a short-term political project that sacrifices fiscal stability.

This description was generated by AI.