How many Cybertrucks will be delivered in 2024?
18
1kṀ5798resolved Feb 1
100%92%
20,001-50,000
0.7%
<10,000
1.0%
10,000-20,000
5%
50,001-100,000
0.9%
100,001-150,000
0.3%
>150,000
Resolves in early 2025 when Tesla (or a verified employee of Tesla) publicly announces 2024 delivery numbers. Resolves N/A if specific Cybertruck numbers are not released.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ360 | |
| 2 | Ṁ274 | |
| 3 | Ṁ177 | |
| 4 | Ṁ109 | |
| 5 | Ṁ16 |
People are also trading
Sort by:
https://x.com/TroyTeslike/status/1877354877883486452
Troy Teslike estimates 32k, so should be safely in the 20k to 50k bucket.
Other models (i.e. S X & Cybertruck) 85133
So not over 100,000
Cybertruck deliveries Q1 to Q3 was about 22186 per Troy Teslike
Even if all of the q4 other models of 23640 were cybertrucks this would still be less than 50k.
So fairly clearly 20k to 50k
But resolution criteria say it will be NA'd without specific numbers