Congress passes tariff dividend legislation by June 30, 2026
1
100Ṁ190Jul 1
18%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
President Trump has floated the idea of using tariff revenue for tariff dividends, proposing "a dividend of at least $2000 a person."
Resolution Criteria: Market resolves YES if Congress passes legislation authorizing tariff dividend payments to individuals by June 30, 2026.
The dividend amount can be any amount and must be authorized to be paid to at least 50% of adult American citizens.
Market resolves NO if no such legislation passes by the deadline.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
US lowers tariffs on India before February 19, 2026?
27% chance
India to finalize tariff reduction agreement with US by Aug 1st 2026?
58% chance
By 31 December 2026, will the Congress pass a DBCFT (Destination Based Cash Flow Tax)?
20% chance
US effective tariff rate in Q4 2026?
-1.1
Will the tariffs be successful in bringing back manufacturing to the US ? (2026)
2.5