Which of the Venezuela Referendum Questions will be Answered 'Yes'?

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Ṁ1368

resolved Dec 4

Resolved

YES

"Do you agree to reject by all means in accordance with the law, the line fraudulently interposed by the 1899 Paris Arbitration Award, which seeks to deprive us of our Guayana Esequiba?"

Resolved

YES

"Do you support the 1966 Geneva Agreement as the only valid legal instrument to reach a practical and satisfactory solution for Venezuela and Guyana regarding the controversy over the territory of Guayana Esequiba?"

Resolved

YES

"Do you agree to oppose, by all legal means, Guyana's claim to unilaterally dispose of a sea pending delimitation, illegally and in violation of international law?"

Resolved

YES

"Do you agree with Venezuela's historical position of not recognizing the jurisdiction of the International Court of Justice to resolve the territorial controversy over Guayana Esequiba?"

Resolved

YES

"Do you agree with the creation of the Guayana Esequiba state [....] Venezuela, in accordance with the Geneva Agreement and International Law, consequently incorporating said state on the map of Venezuelan territory?"

Venezuela is holding a referendum on December 3rd with a view to annexing a substantial portion of what is broadly recognized as being part of neighbouring Guyana.

Market will resolve once referendum results are announced.

In the result of the referendum not taking place (or the results not being announced, not just delayed) the market will resolve to 'no'.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Venezuelan_referendum

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guayana_Esequiba

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#️ Politics

#Venezuela

#Venezuela-Guyana Crisis

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Looks as if we aren't getting results beyond "Very big and entirely credible win, massive turnout, anyone who disagrees is bought by EXXON!!" so resolving to YES.

Hopefully this vote is purely for internal politics and doesn't lead to a real conflict...

Market closed as 'results' are starting to be announced.

I'll wait for an official announcement (ideally with counts) before resolving but in a surprise to noone it looks like the YES camaign were successful in all five questions...

Big court decision due today...

https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/court-ruling-request-order-venezuela-halt-part-referendum-105299460

@PaulBenjaminPhotographer worth mentioning one of the referendum questions was precisely on whether to accept the jurisdiction of the Court. Countries are, in principle, allowed to just reject jurisdiction, although there are factors in this particular case that might mean Venezuela is not allowed to do that.

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