π Will A.I., "Hallucinate Significantly Less," by the End of 2024?
5
21
αΉ83αΉ130
2025
36%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is the 2024 version of the linked market. I will fill in details later.
I may use an updated metric if the above metric is stale. I aim to get the details to this market completed by end of January 2024.
https://manifold.markets/PatrickDelaney/will-ai-hallucinate-significantly-l
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I am trying to find out if any of the independent metrics have been updated before resolving the prior market on this topic. If anyone knows or finds a link, please comment here:
https://manifold.markets/PatrickDelaney/will-ai-hallucinate-significantly-l ... results may be incorporated into the 2024 market here.
This might be a better board: https://huggingface.co/spaces/vectara/Hallucination-evaluation-leaderboard
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