
๐ Will A.I. Be Able to Meet Just Below Human Performance In Being Able to "Track Changes in State," By the End of 2024?
4
90แน28Jan 1
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is the 2024 version of https://manifold.markets/PatrickDelaney/will-ai-be-able-to-meet-just-below
I reserve the right to switch up the metric if there is a more updated version. I aim to get the final qualifications for this done by end of January 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
๐ Will A.I. Be Able to Make Significantly Better, "Common Sense Judgements About What Happens Next," by End of 2024?
43% chance
๐ Will A.I. Achieve Significantly Higher Performance Over "General Conceptual Skills" by end of 2024?
25% chance
๐ Will A.I. Achieve Significantly More, "Linguistic Temporal Understanding" by end of 2024?
39% chance
๐ Will A.I. Be Able to, "Feel and React to Pain," Significantly Better By the End of 2024?
33% chance
๐ Will AI Be Able to Understand the, "Meaning" of Questions Significantly Better By the End of 2024?
46% chance
๐ Will A.I. Be Significantly Better at, "Egocentric Navigation," by the End of 2024?
14% chance
๐ Will AI Achieve Significantly More, "Embodiment" by end of 2024?
15% chance
๐ Will A.I. Get Significantly Better at Evaluating Scientific Claims by the end of 2024? (As Measured By Leaderboard)
3% chance
๐ Will A.I., "Hallucinate Significantly Less," by the End of 2024?
16% chance
๐ Will AI Be Able to Gain a Much Broader Academic and Professional Understanding by the End of 2024?
43% chance