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MANIFOLD
Will I contact my ex, and how will it go?
204
Ṁ1kṀ66k
resolved Aug 23
100%63%
Positive continued contact
0.2%
No contact attempt
0.6%
No response
3%
Negative outcome
32%
Neutral or brief exchange
1.4%
Romantic reconciliation

Context: We dated for a few months several years ago. I ended the relationship, and they made several attempts to reconnect in the period afterward, but we have not spoken in a long time. I’m considering sending an apology and asking whether they would be open to catching up.

This market resolves to the option that, in my judgement, most closely describes the overall outcome within 21 days of my first contact attempt. If I don't reach out to my ex by the end of August 6 (a week from market creation), resolves to No contact attempt.

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im so upset i found this market so late 😭

@traders I'm resolving this to "Positive continued contact". We're still actively communicating with each other.

Why this isn't resolving to any of the other options:

Romantic reconciliation: We are explicitly not getting back together.

Neutral or brief exchange: We are still engaging in positive communication as friends, so not brief or neutral.

No response: My first text received a response.

No contact attempt: We exchanged texts and met in person, so this is also a no.

Negative outcome: Our communication remains friendly, neither party expressed hostility, and each of us has initiated contact with the other. Overall, not something I would characterize as negative.

@Parallax would love some continued updates :)

@bens We're still in touch! We're friends now, and we've been communicating over text every few days or so.

What an emotional roller coaster of a market. Keep up the good work!

@JoeandSeth oh! Will you tell them about this market?

@JoeandSeth No, it would probably upset them.

@traders My ex reached out to me today to share photos from their camping trip and we messaged for a little while after that. It's likely we'll keep in touch.

@traders My ex ended up replying to my message. The delay was because my ex was out camping. We exchanged a few messages about the trip.

@Parallax you honestly might wanna extend this a couple days tbh

@LiamRutherford Thanks for the suggestion. I'm already planning to wait two days from now to resolution. The market will resolve based on the state of contact at that point.

@traders Update: I've ended up texting my ex to catch up as friends. My ex hasn't replied yet.

@Parallax if, god forbid, they did block you, would you consider the whole episode as having a positive, negative, or neutral outcome?

@someoneR5c8l I don't think I could be very confident they have blocked me since resolution only three days from now. If they still haven't responded by the resolution date, I would resolve to "Neutral or brief exchange." We communicated for over a week and met in person twice, which isn't a negative outcome relative to initial expectations. But it's also not "Positive continued contact" if there is no response to my only message since they told me we are not getting back together.

@Parallax How would rejection & cessation of all contact, be "neutral?"

@ChurlishGambit Going back to no-contact would be a disappointing end to my efforts to reconnect, but taken from the first message to the last, I wouldn't see things as negative. I think "Neutral or brief exchange" would fit the 10 days of communication better.

bought Ṁ10 YES

I'd say that continuing the friendship seems like a good choice. If you like her enough, then she seems like a goo person to just keep in contact with.

bought Ṁ15 YES

@Chimpy I concour.

@Chimpy I'm leaning the same way. I think I'll message my ex tomorrow and try to keep in touch.

that's... not going to go well. godspeed

@Parallax any update? I’m lowk invested in this now.

@LiamRutherford I might text my ex today. If I don't today, I'll probably do it tomorrow.

reposted

If a graph could tell a story...

bought Ṁ1 YES

@Hakari I'm on the hopium.

@Quroe Oh same