I've been seriously considering reaching out to my ex.
This market resolves to the option that, in my judgement, most closely describes the overall outcome within 21 days of my first contact attempt. If I don't reach out to my ex by the end of August 6 (a week from market creation), resolves to No contact attempt.
1,000@ChurlishGambit Fair question... It's necessarily pretty speculative, but people can bet based off of base rates plus context I provide. We dated for a few months several years ago. I ended the relationship, they made several attempts to reconnect afterward, and we haven't spoken in a long time. I've been considering sending an apology and asking if they'd be open to catching up. I made this market mostly for personal accountability and curiosity rather than expecting an especially precise forecast.