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MANIFOLD
Will I contact my ex, and how will it go?
197
Ṁ1kṀ63k
Aug 22
67%
Neutral or brief exchange
28%
Positive continued contact
3%
Negative outcome
1.5%
Romantic reconciliation

Context: We dated for a few months several years ago. I ended the relationship, and they made several attempts to reconnect in the period afterward, but we have not spoken in a long time. I’m considering sending an apology and asking whether they would be open to catching up.

This market resolves to the option that, in my judgement, most closely describes the overall outcome within 21 days of my first contact attempt. If I don't reach out to my ex by the end of August 6 (a week from market creation), resolves to No contact attempt.

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@traders My ex ended up replying to my message. The delay was because my ex was out camping. We exchanged a few messages about the trip.

@traders Update: I've ended up texting my ex to catch up as friends. My ex hasn't replied yet.

@Parallax if, god forbid, they did block you, would you consider the whole episode as having a positive, negative, or neutral outcome?

@someoneR5c8l I don't think I could be very confident they have blocked me since resolution only three days from now. If they still haven't responded by the resolution date, I would resolve to "Neutral or brief exchange." We communicated for over a week and met in person twice, which isn't a negative outcome relative to initial expectations. But it's also not "Positive continued contact" if there is no response to my only message since they told me we are not getting back together.

@Parallax How would rejection & cessation of all contact, be "neutral?"

@ChurlishGambit Going back to no-contact would be a disappointing end to my efforts to reconnect, but taken from the first message to the last, I wouldn't see things as negative. I think "Neutral or brief exchange" would fit the 10 days of communication better.

bought Ṁ10 YES

I'd say that continuing the friendship seems like a good choice. If you like her enough, then she seems like a goo person to just keep in contact with.

bought Ṁ15 YES

@Chimpy I concour.

@Chimpy I'm leaning the same way. I think I'll message my ex tomorrow and try to keep in touch.

that's... not going to go well. godspeed

@Parallax any update? I’m lowk invested in this now.

@LiamRutherford I might text my ex today. If I don't today, I'll probably do it tomorrow.

reposted

If a graph could tell a story...

bought Ṁ1 YES

@Hakari I'm on the hopium.

@Quroe Oh same

@traders Update:

While I was at work today, my ex sent me a message explaining that us getting back together is not going to work out because they are not interested in me romantically. My ex is willing to be friends and talk, so long as things are kept strictly platonic. I haven't replied back yet.

@Parallax do you intend to seriously pursue the friendship? You should not if your intention is to secretly win them over, I think. But some of my best friends are ex-es.

We support whatever happens as long as you handle it maturely, no matter where the mana chips fall.

@JimAusman I agree, worst thing to be the tortured soul wanting more than is available. It doesn't have a happy ending.

@JimAusman I still want to reconcile, but I know at this point that that's not going to happen. I texted my ex and said that I needed some time to adjust emotionally, and I haven't texted my ex since. I'm not sure whether we'll end up being friends.

bought Ṁ250 YES

@Parallax yeah that sounds donezo

bought Ṁ5 YES

Does positive brief exchange count as "neutral or brief exchange" or "positive continued contact"? 🤔

@TheAllMemeingEye It'd count as "neutral or brief exchange", since it'd be covered under the brief exchange half.

@traders Updates from our date:

We did not get back together today.

We went on a walk for about an hour and a half.

We held hands during the walk.

They said they need more time before we get back together.

We kissed at the end (they initiated it).

We did not schedule another meetup, and they are moving away in a week.

bought Ṁ100 YES

@Parallax kiss does seem like 'Romantic Reconciliation'

Unless you want to define 'Romantic Reconciliation' further @Parallax

@Parallax are 'Romantic reconciliation' and "Positive continued contact' mutually exclusive? I guess, in the spirit of the question maybe Yes, as in, we would assume 'positive continued contact' to be 'maintaining some kind of amicable platonic relationship' but then...there is enough ambiguity I think for a resolution for both cases. I fail to see how a 'Romantic reconciliation' would not also count as 'positive continued contact'.

@PlutoGaming Perhaps one last hurrah (ONS) before the ex moves away in a week could be romantic reconciliation without positive continued contact?

Also, this market ends based on what Parallax feels in 12 days.

@Hakari Babe, what are we? No seriously. I need to resolve the betting market

@PlutoGaming I'll resolve to "Romantic reconciliation" if we are officially back together at the deadline. I'll resolve to "Positive continued contact" if we're still in contact, but haven't resumed the relationship. Currently, we are not officially in a romantic relationship.