Resolves YES if an official announcement is made about a new mainline Grand Theft Auto title (GTA 6) prior to midnight on December 1st, 2023.
Resolves NO if no official announcement has been made.
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FYI this market already resolved YES. https://manifold.markets/ViniciusMoreira/will-gta-6-will-be-announced-in-202
While it's only announcing that we'll soon get a trailer, this is an official announcement so the market should resolve yes:
https://www.rockstargames.com/newswire/article/4kok877a13aa32/a-message-from-rockstar-games
@JohannesKoch I disagree. The wording is, "We are very excited to let you know that in early December, we will release the first trailer for the next Grand Theft Auto." To me, that clearly is just an announcement of a trailer, not the official announcement of the game.
JTBC I do expect the official announcement to come in November, before the trailer.
@Jacy I interpreted the market description to mean "any official announcement in relation to a new GTA", which this article is. But I see your point, would be interested to know what @ParadoxEpoch thinks.
@Jacy How is it possible to announce a video game trailer without announcing the game?
@JohannesKoch Agreed. I resolved this market as yes since it's an official announcement about the next GTA. Even though the trailer isn't out until early December, the article announces the game's existence and confirms Rockstar's intent to release it.
@Noit for some reason I thought this one was about the trailer release. Maybe I was still waking up.