Will Trump win the shutdown?
26
500Ṁ1831Oct 31
35%
chance
4
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if Trump’s approval rating is higher 2 weeks after the shutdown ends than it is on October 1 (Silver Bulletin). Exact same number would mean I resolve N/A
Update: his Oct 1 approval rating is 43.7%
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!