NOAA - Will November 2024 be the hottest November on record? (Global)
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resolved Dec 12
Resolved
NO

Will resolve based on NOAA global monthly report. Usually gets released in the middle of the following month. A tie will resolve “no”.

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/

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bought Ṁ2,398 NO

November 2024

The November global surface temperature was 1.34°C (2.41°F) above the 20th-century average of 12.9°C (55.2°F), making it the second-warmest November on record. This was 0.05°C (0.09°F) below last year's record warm month. November 2024 marked the 48th consecutive November (since 1977) with temperatures at least nominally above the 20th-century average.

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/global/202411

bought Ṁ250 NO
  • Oct 2023 was hotter than Oct 2024

  • Comparing Nov 1st to 17th of 2023 and 2024. Nov 2024 is lower.

  • Early Nov 2024 was hotter but it has corrected

  • The anomaly for Nov 2024 is lower than Nov 2023

Main issue is that there could be a sudden spike but I think it is overvalued as of now

"And every day the paper boy brings more."--Pink Floyd

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