If I go to Manifest, will I regret it? [short fuse market 🧨]
13
2kṀ1102
Apr 1
30%
chance
  • I currently live in Washington DC and am leaning towards going to Manifest.

  • I think all expenses included it would cost me roughly $1500 to attend. I would like to buy an early bird ticket if I go, which is why the market closes soon.

  • My biggest interest in going would be to expand my network and get advice, as I’m looking to change the direction of my career. I am 24 and currently work a fairly normie DC job. It pays decently well (I give some money to givewell which I find rewarding) but the job has nothing to do with my career goals. My goal is to work in VC (high impact “deep tech” would probably be the goal) but I am probably in need of a “bridge” job or an MBA in order to get there. I have a BS in bioengineering but am not really using it at my current job. I would prefer to stay on the East Coast if possible, which I realize limits my options in VC.

  • I’ve gone to local EA and Prediction Market-themed events and have had fun most of the time. I also used to assist with organizing my university’s EA chapter, which I enjoyed.

  • I would regret going if I went and felt like I gained essentially zero insight into the direction I should push my career. I would hope to get to talk to at least a few VC folks.

  • Happy to answer more questions in the comments if helpful.

RESOLUTION CRITERIA

This question will resolve Yes if

  • A) I attend Manifest, and

  • B) one month after Manifest (roughly July 4 weekend) I feel like I gained relatively little insight into the direction I should push my career and I feel like I’m still on the same path as I was before. Insight could be someone knowledgeable telling me that “yes, you would probably need an MBA from a top school to get where you want to go”. Insight could also be someone I find trustworthy convincing me that my goal probably isn’t worth pursuing. Insight could also take some other form.

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Thank you @traders, I will definitely take 2:1 odds! Just purchased my ticket. See you guys there!

Added an additional 1K liquidity

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