Will Vince McMahon be found guilty of sex trafficking?
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3
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2026
44%
chance

In any court, with any sentence. Does not need to end up actually serving prison time; this resolves Yes even if the verdict is overturned later, or if Vince dies after conviction.

https://www.wsj.com/business/vince-mcmahon-accused-of-sex-trafficking-by-wwe-staffer-he-paid-to-keep-quiet-0b19b21c?st=0cn9sdzv8s0vuoq

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So this resolves no if vince dies without a conviction?

@BDStraw Or being found guilty in a civil suit…? Idk if the word there is conviction or if trafficking would be the matter at issue

predicts NO

@BDStraw A civil suit would not involve being guilty of a crime, just liability for damages, so it could not resolve this market by itself.

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