[SHORT FUSE] Will Israel take any degree of responsibility for the deaths of the Bibas family?
13
248
แน455แน250
Dec 1
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves Yes if any official Israeli government/military statement takes any degree of responsibility for the Hamas-reported deaths of the Bibas family. Saying "Hamas is ultimately responsible for all hostage deaths, but tragically it does appear one of our strikes may have hit these human shields" would resolve Yes, because it is taking more than zero responsibility for the family's death.
https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/29/middleeast/kfir-babas-israel-hamas-gaza-intl
Note that this market will close after 48 hours. This market will resolve Yes if any admission is made before July 1st, 2024. Otherwise it will then resolve No. Let's try to actually predict political things, and not just news trade!
Get แน600 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Israel (or allies) be shown to be responsibility for Iranian president helicopter crash? ๐ฎ๐ฑ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ท
5% chance
Will Israel commit war crimes by cutting off food/water, electricity, and fuel to the Gaza Strip?
72% chance
Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?
17% chance
Will the IDF kill more of Hamas's recently taken hostages than Hamas does? [แน1000 Subsidy]
52% chance
Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?
71% chance
Did Netanyahu know about the Hamas attack before it commenced?
28% chance
Will the death toll in the current Israel-Palestinian conflict reach 100,000?
30% chance
Will Israel be held responsible for its war crimes is Gaza?
26% chance
Will Israel find the soldier(s) who shot a West Bank 8-year-old in the back of the head guilty of any crime?
46% chance
Given that Hamas will execute a hostage and release video of the killing, will at least 1 hostage be a child under 16?
29% chance