
How long will the Suez Canal be closed between now and the end of 2024?
15
Ṁ1kṀ3.1kresolved Dec 31
100%94%
Less than one day
5%
1-6 days
0.6%
7-30 days
0.3%
31-60 days
0.3%
61-120 days
0.3%
121+ days
All times are cumulative.
There have been multiple past closures of varying lengths: https://www.businessinsider.com/the-suez-canal-blocked-and-closed-several-times-since-opening-2021-3?amp
Currently, the Israel-Palestine conflict and its satellite conflicts threaten to cause another:
https://apnews.com/article/red-sea-yemen-houthis-attack-ships-f67d941c260528ac40315ecab4c34ca3
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ316 | |
| 2 | Ṁ94 | |
| 3 | Ṁ26 | |
| 4 | Ṁ18 | |
| 5 | Ṁ15 |
People are also trading
Related questions
How many weeks will the Strait of Hormuz remain closed?
19.2
How many days will the Panama Canal remain closed due to military conflict during Trump's presidency?
Will Saudi–Egypt Causeway be open to public by 2040?
57% chance
When will the Istanbul Canal open to traffic?
Will the Kra Isthmus Canal open before 2050?
31% chance