Will Putin's domestic approval take a hit in 2023?
16
350Ṁ2065
resolved Dec 24
Resolved
NO

The latest polls by Levada, the independent Russian polling agency, see Putin's approval rating at 80% in August. Of course, this number is heavily distorted by propaganda, repression etc., but it still seems to be a useful trend indicator. For example, after last year's mobilization announcement, it dropped from 83% to 77% within a month.

Will the numbers be at least 5% lower than in August (that is, 75% or below) for any month in 2023? I will take the rounded numbers as published on the Levada indicators page. Please note that I will wait for the publication of the December numbers in January.

UPD. Just noticed I missed an almost identical existing market by @itsTomekK (with "below 75%" instead of "75% or below"). You might prefer to go there:

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The numbers are already out (details in Russian, graph in English), and it's a clear No.

Just noticed I missed an almost identical existing market by @itsTomekK (with "below 75%" instead of "75% or below"). You might prefer to go there:

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