What did the Il-76 shot down on 1/24 carry?
➕
Plus
26
Ṁ2093
Dec 31
83%
Ukrainian prisoners
18%
Missiles
Resolved
N/A
No Prisoners of War [clarification pending]

An Il-76 airplane has crashed in Russia's Belgorod region. Russia claims it was transporting over 60 Ukrainian prisoners. Some Ukrainian media initially said it carried S-300 missiles and was "the work of the Ukrainan [forces]", but then withdrew/redacted the claim.


What did the plane carry? I will resolve to every significant type of cargo/kind of passanger according to (Western) media/expert consensus. If the answers are not clear by market expiration, I will either resolve N/A or extend the deadline. I may resolve early if the answers seem clear.

Please only add specific and non-trivial answers, not e.g. "things" or "its own crew"; I will delete anything else.

See also:

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Shortly after the event, there were indications that it was "likely" there were Ukrainian prisoners on board; however, it wasn't definite, and I haven't seen any reliable new information on this. If you have any relevant links, please provide them; otherwise, I'll extend the deadline until the end of the year.

Market extended until EOY.

Grace Kind ♠︎boughtṀ71Ukrainian prisoners YES

“A Russian plane shot down with a Patriot missile was probably carrying Ukrainian prisoners of war, U.S. officials say.”

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/08/us/politics/ukraine-russia-patriot-missile.html

No Prisoners of War [clarification pending]

How is this different from buying "no" on "Ukrainian prisoners of war"?

@PS Since there was no reply, resolving this N/A

@PS How many Ukrainian prisoners need to be confirmed for the "Ukrainian prisoners" to resolve YES?

@Irigi Any; one would be enough.

@PS wouldn't prisoners imply at least two?

@komplexkonjugat I meant this as a mass noun, as in "any prisoners", which I think includes one prisoner

This hasn't been resolved yet! Plz change

@Lorelai What do you mean?

@PS we don't know what was on the plane yet?

@Lorelai I'm also a noob so maybe I got it wrong and you haven't "resolved"

@Lorelai No, the question is not resolved, you are welcome to continue betting : )

@PS oh confusing ahahaha thanks

@Lorelai A resolved question looks like this

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules