Background

NVIDIA, a leading semiconductor company specializing in graphics processing units (GPUs) and artificial intelligence technologies, has seen remarkable growth in recent years. As of mid-October 2024, NVIDIA's stock price was around $131.60, approaching a $3.5 trillion market capitalization. The company's revenue is projected to reach approximately $111.3 billion in 2025, up significantly from $26.97 billion in 2023, driven largely by exponential growth in data center revenue.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on NVIDIA's market capitalization at market close on December 31st, 2025. Market capitalization will be determined by multiplying the closing stock price by the number of outstanding shares. The data source will be Yahoo Finance or another reputable financial data provider.

If NVIDIA undergoes any stock splits before the resolution date, the market cap calculation will account for the adjusted number of shares. In the event of a merger, acquisition, or delisting before December 31st, 2025, the market will resolve based on the last available market capitalization before such an event.

Considerations

• Analyst predictions for NVIDIA's 2025 stock price vary widely, ranging from $107 to $521

• The company's valuation is heavily influenced by AI market growth and competition

• Market capitalization can be affected by factors such as stock buybacks, new share issuance, or changes in the broader market environment

• The resolution ranges account for both conservative and optimistic growth scenarios based on current analyst projections