I have vague plans to launch a deep tech climate-focused start-up in the next 3 years. I have one idea for it which I've been lightly investigating the last few months.

I'll be attending graduate school starting in Fall (see https://manifold.markets/ArunJohnson/will-i-graduate-with-a-phd-in-3-yea?r=QXJ1bkpvaG5zb24) While there I might further develop this idea, come up with another idea, or meet someone with an idea who I'd like to co-found a company with.

To resolve YES, I must be founder or co-founder of a legally incorporated company that has raised at least $100k in funding (grants, venture capital, etc.)

Will I graduate with a PhD in 3 years?

40% chance. I am starting a Ph.D. in Chemical Engineering at MIT this Fall. My aim is to complete a condensed course of study, and graduate in 3 years, to match the timeline for the research portion of a Ph.D. CEP degree. Will I have graduated by the end of the 3rd academic year? If I have success…