PlayStation 5 Pro Mega-Market [Multiple Choice]
67%
Will have a ~10% faster CPU
66%
I will buy one (I have a base PS5 currently)
1.4%
Release will coincide with GTA6 launch (within 1 month)
Resolved
YES
Will have ~28% increase in system memory over base PS5
Resolved
YES
Graphics rendered ~45% faster
Resolved
YES
Games will release that have a “PS5 Pro Enhanced” label (or similar)
Resolved
YES
Will cost at least USD $499 (or equivalent)
Resolved
YES
Ray-tracing 2-4x better
Resolved
YES
Dedicated “AI Accelerator” included
Resolved
YES
PSSR implemented
Resolved
YES
Will release in at least one country by EOY 2024
Resolved
YES
“Detachable” Disc Drive

Questions are sourced from various rumor roundups:

https://www.theverge.com/2024/3/30/24116580/ps5-pro-enhanced-label-specs-ray-tracing-60fps-pssr-4k-upscaling

https://youtu.be/U5h4bvudvX8?si=leyPOCd_hLPkzHg8

https://insider-gaming.com/playstation-5-pro-more-specs/

Etc.

Add options if you like, that can be easily differentiated from pre-existing ones.

Market will N/A EOY 2025 if nothing is released OR before that if there are multiple high-profile confirmations that its release has been cancelled.

Comment if you need clarifications but keep in mind you are betting on rumors from blog-tier publications.

Numbers listed are somewhat fungible but doubling or halving is significant enough to be different.

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Some resolutions used these sources:

1) PS5 Pro specs: how powerful the new PlayStation 5 console is, and how it compares to the PS5 | TechRadar

2) Welcome PlayStation 5 Pro, the most visually impressive way to play games on PlayStation – PlayStation.Blog

Most notably CPU specs remain unclear, even after official announcement and blog post.

The other two are almost certainly "no." (I'll give y'all some time to fix your bets to account for that.)

I’ll try to resolve the rest of these in the coming weeks before the November 7th launch. Some of the details don’t exactly lend themselves to a 1-to-1 comparison and I’d rather take the time to get it right than screw it up quickly.

@Ophiuchus if you could, I would really appreciate freeing up some liquidity on things that are 1:1 with the rumors and market. I understand it can't be done for all :)

A few of them here https://www.theverge.com/2024/9/10/24167932/ps5-pro-sony-specs-announcement

@HenriThunberg I’ll go through this later today and resolve what I can! You’re welcome to suggest any additional resolutions that I miss that you think can be confidently done. Appreciate the link! 👍

fyi for everyone betting "yes" on "I will buy one" here--I just realized I haven't played any games on my base PS5 for over six months. (I still use it daily for streaming video services.)

Not sure if the option is priced well atm with that taken into account.

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