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MANIFOLD
Will more than 5 bots trade on this market?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ23
Aug 10
58%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if 6 or more distinct accounts with the "isBot": true property in the Manifold API make at least one trade (buy or sell shares) on this market.

If 5 or fewer distinct bot accounts trade on this market before it closes, it will resolve to NO.

  • Verification: The transaction/trade history of this market will be used to identify all participating accounts. Each account's bot status will be verified using the Manifold API (isBot flag) or by the presence of a "Bot" badge on their profile.

  • Only trades made before the market closes will count.

Background

Manifold Markets provides an open API that allows developers to run automated trading bots. Accounts designated as bots have the "isBot": true parameter in their API user data and are marked with a "Bot" label next to their username. Many bots programmatically scan new markets to execute trades based on arbitrage, LLM-based forecasting, or statistical heuristics. This market tracks whether at least 6 of these automated accounts will trade here.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

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