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MANIFOLD
Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ49
Jul 14
43%
chance

Start 9:30 AM EST 7/7/2026

END 9:30 AM EST 7/14/2026

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is higher exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the market is created than it was at the exact time of creation. If the price is lower than or equal to the price at creation, the market resolves to NO.

  • Primary Source: CoinGecko's Bitcoin (BTC) page (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin)

  • Fallback Source: Yahoo Finance BTC-USD (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BTC-USD/)

  • Timing: The price comparison is determined using the price at the market's exact creation timestamp ($T_0$) versus the price exactly 168 hours later ($T_0 + 168$ hours). If precise minute-by-minute historical data is inaccessible on the resolution date, the closest available hourly data points provided by the primary source will be used.

Background

Bitcoin (BTC) is the world's first decentralized cryptocurrency and remains the largest by market capitalization. Its valuation is highly volatile and driven by shifting macroeconomic factors, ETF inflows and outflows, halving cycles, and general market liquidity. Short-term 7-day price movements are commonly traded based on technical analysis, regulatory news, and liquidations.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

Market context
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