Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the total number of unique traders listed on the creator's Manifold profile page at the end of June (June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT / July 1, 2026, at 6:59 AM UTC).

The resolution value will be determined by the "Traders" count displayed on the creator's public profile. If the exact timestamp cannot be captured live, the creator will resolve the market using the closest verifiable data or profile history.

Background

On Manifold Markets, the "Traders" statistic on a user's profile tracks the cumulative number of unique accounts that have interacted with any market created by that user. This metric increases when new users place bets on the creator's active markets.