How many people will attend the "Effectively Handling Disagreement" workshop (Freiburg, July 2025)?
8
1kṀ2124
resolved Jul 5
Resolved
20 - 24
100%26%
20 - 24
2%
5 - 9
11%
10 - 14
31%
15 - 19
20%
25 - 29
7%
30 - 35
3%
Above 35

Attendees includes every person that participates in the workshop for at least 1 hour and is 15 years or older. Including the coach/presenter (there'll be one, maybe two). Officially the event is capped at 30 attendees (excluding the coach).

The average number of attendees at regular Rationality Freiburg meetups is 18.55 people (σ=4.08). This event could be more because it's particularly interesting and takes places on a Saturday instead of Friday evening or less because it costs some money and is quite long (4 hours).

https://www.rationality-freiburg.de/events/2025-07-05-handling-disagreement/

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24 people is the precise answer 🙂

sold Ṁ24 YES

I just kept buying and selling until it looked more or less gaussian around my median prediction of 23 :)

@GabrielSalwey probably didnt make sense financially speeking, but I hope it does epistemically o.o

@GabrielSalwey I'm no prediction market expert but that's how I do it and I think that it makes both financial and epistemological sense. Happy to be proven wrong if someone wants to explain 🙂

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