Will Ukraine win this year's Eurovision song contest?
44
102Ṁ4707
resolved May 15
Resolved
YES
This market resolves as yes if Ukraine wins this year's Eurovision song contest. Eurovision votes often depend on political sympathies anyway. Mar 2, 11:16pm: To clear up edge cases: If Ukraine does not compete - Resolves No. No eurovision this year - Resolves No. If Ukraine ties for first place - Resolves Yes.
Politics
Ukraine-Russia war
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Arbitraging against https://manifold.markets/dglid/will-ukraine-win-eurovision-2022 I don't really know how the math works out, but I *think* I've got $7 EV on a $37 investment
I don't understand how this market and https://manifold.markets/dglid/will-ukraine-win-eurovision-2022 are so different, moving money there
Crap, wrong market. Will post the above on MY market 🤦‍♂️
@Lorenzo if Ukraine does not compete, it resolves "No". If the contest does not take place, it resolves "N/A". If they tie for 1st, it resolves "Yes". I'll add this to the description too.
How does this resolve if Ukraine does not compete, the contest doesn't take place, or there is a tie?
I get that there is a lot of political sympathy towards Ukraine right now, but there is no way it's 71% to win.
Updating towards https://eurovisionworld.com/odds/eurovision and https://manifold.markets/dglid/will-ukraine-win-eurovision-2022 Other related question: https://manifold.markets/Lorenzo/will-italy-win-the-eurovision-song
Duplicate of https://manifold.markets/dglid/will-ukraine-win-eurovision-2022

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