Will Ukraine win this year's Eurovision song contest?
Politics•Ukraine-Russia war
44
186
Ṁ102
resolved May 15
Resolved
YES
This market resolves as yes if Ukraine wins this year's Eurovision song contest. Eurovision votes often depend on political sympathies anyway. Mar 2, 11:16pm: To clear up edge cases: If Ukraine does not compete - Resolves No. No eurovision this year - Resolves No. If Ukraine ties for first place - Resolves Yes.
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bought Ṁ17 of YES
Arbitraging against https://manifold.markets/dglid/will-ukraine-win-eurovision-2022 I don't really know how the math works out, but I *think* I've got $7 EV on a $37 investment
sold Ṁ22 of NO
I don't understand how this market and https://manifold.markets/dglid/will-ukraine-win-eurovision-2022 are so different, moving money there
sold Ṁ1 of NO
Crap, wrong market. Will post the above on MY market 🤦‍♂️
bought Ṁ1 of NO
@Lorenzo if Ukraine does not compete, it resolves "No". If the contest does not take place, it resolves "N/A". If they tie for 1st, it resolves "Yes". I'll add this to the description too.
bought Ṁ100 of NO
How does this resolve if Ukraine does not compete, the contest doesn't take place, or there is a tie?
bought Ṁ10 of NO
I get that there is a lot of political sympathy towards Ukraine right now, but there is no way it's 71% to win.
bought Ṁ55 of NO
Updating towards https://eurovisionworld.com/odds/eurovision and https://manifold.markets/dglid/will-ukraine-win-eurovision-2022 Other related question: https://manifold.markets/Lorenzo/will-italy-win-the-eurovision-song
bought Ṁ1 of NO
Duplicate of https://manifold.markets/dglid/will-ukraine-win-eurovision-2022

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