Will any lab claim to have synthesized a new chemical element with the atomic number >118 in 2024?
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NO

The element 118, Oganesson, which currently holds the last position in the periodic table has been first synthesized in 2002 and added to the periodic table in 2015 (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oganesson).

Will there be any serious claims this year that a new element with a higher atomic number is synthesized? The claim has to be published in a peer-reviewed journal and mentioned on the relevant Wikipedia's page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extended_periodic_table#Searches_for_undiscovered_elements

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>and mentioned on the relevant Wikipedia's page:

By when? Will you check the wikipedia page on ~Jan 4th 2025, or if there is potentially valid paper published and wikipedia hasn't added it yet, will you wait? For how long?

@MatthewLeong If paper is published, I expect that it will be mentioned on Wikipedia fairly soon. The only scenario under which I can imagine that the paper is published and not mentioned on Wikipedia is if it's quickly retracted or if it's very obscure for some reason. In the first case, I think it's ok to resolve to NO, and in the second I don't see how I would find out about this claim anyway.

If there's a complicated situation, like there's a claim and an edit war on Wikipedia regarding whether to mention it, I'll resolve to N/A. I don't think this is very likely.

@MatthewLeong If the paper is published, I expect that it will be mentioned on Wikipedia very soon, unless it for some reason is very obscure.

If there's a complicated scenario with a controversial claim that sparks a war edit on Wikipedia, I'll resolve to N/A.

@OlegEterevsky For some reason the first comment didn't show, so I though it was lost and answered again :(

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