Update after slightly less than a year::

S&P 500: +4.9%

NASDAQ Composite: +4.2%

Dow (DJIA): +2.0%

BTC: +44.1%

ETH: -40.0%

SOL: -9.2%

USD: 0%

EUR: +3.9%

JPY: +6.5%

Update after ~100 days:

S&P 500: +6.4%

NASDAQ Composite: +5.8%

Dow (DJIA): +4.2%

BTC: -11.5%

ETH: -17.3%

SOL: -16.7%

USD: 0%

EUR: +2%

JPY: +4.9%

Roughly one month in, the growth is as follows:

S&P 500: +2.3%

Nasdaq Comp: +5.7%

DJIA: -3.2%

BTC: 0%

ETH: +17.5%

SOL: -10.8%

USD: 0%

EUR: -1.6%

JPY: 0%

One week in, the growth is as follows:

S&P 500: -0.02%

COMP: +0.35%

DJIA: -0.01%

BTC: +5.3%

ETH: +25.1%

SOL: +9.78%

USD: 0%

EUR: -0.47%

JPY: -1.5%

So if the market were resolved today, ETH would be the winner.

What does "grow more" mean here? Are we predicting which one grows the most or whether the index finishes above or below where it is today?

@SethSoarenson For which one of these assets the ratio (value in USD on 2029-05-16 / value in USD on 2024-05-16) will be the highest.

$1 will always be $1, so it's growth will be 1x or +0%.

Suppose 1 EUR will be = $1.5. This translates into 1.5/1.08876 = 1.38x growth or +38%.

If 1 JPY will be = $0.005, then it will diminish by 0.005 / 0.00648 = 0.77x or -23%.

So out of these 3 assets EUR grew the most.

Does it make sense?

@OlegEterevsky cool, so if I understand correctly, if you made this same question 5 years ago, ETH would have won because it grew 1770% and every other chart would have resolved no?

@SethSoarenson Sounds about right. The options are mutually exclusive.