When will Nvidia announce RTX 5090?
41
292
1.7K
2025
20%
Q2 2024 or earlier
58%
Q3 2024 or earlier
84%
Q4 2024 or earlier
88%
Q1 2025 or earlier
90%
Q2 2025 or earlier
94%
Q3 2025 or earlier

The previous two generation of Nvidia consumer GPUs were announced in September 2020 and in October 2022. Since Nvidia has been releasing new GPU generations roughly once every two years, it can be expected that it will announce the next generation of cards fairly soon.

The market will resolve positively as soon as Nvidia announces their next flagship consumer GPU, an equivalent of RTX 4090 in the next generation, presumably called RTX 5090.

If the GPU naming changes, the released GPU will qualify if it is targeted at consumers, has significantly higher performance than RTX 4090 and is built on the next generation architecture.

When the announcement happens, all options still open will resolve to YES. Before that, options will be resolved as NO as soon as the respective time period is over.

I do not bet on my own questions.

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bought Ṁ10 Q3 2025 or earlier YES

I am assuming, from the phrasing of the markets here, that once the 5090 releases, all the markets that say "or earlier" will resolve YES. Is that correct?

@josh Yes, all the options still open by that moment will resolve to YES. Before that markets will be resolved as NO as soon as the respective time period is over.