Will this market experience swings >=95%, at least three times ?

for example, this market might go down to 3% then up to 98% then back to 3% then 98%, that would be enough for YES consistent with the rules below.

Rules:

• Each "swing" will be measured as peak to trough or vice versa, fractional probability is rounded to closest integer.

• Peaks and troughs only count if 10 users or more hold positions at the time they happen.

• Time between peaks/troughs must be at least 1 day.

Inspired by: /IsaacKing/by-the-end-of-2023-will-there-be-a-1432a1a506fe, sadly this market will not count for that.