Trump visits Russia before visiting Ukraine
Trump visits Russia before visiting Ukraine
7
200Ṁ1862028
72%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve YES if Donald Trump makes an official visit to Russia before making any official visit to Ukraine. If Trump visits Ukraine first or makes no visits to either country by the resolution date, this resolves NO.
Sources for verification: Major news outlets including Reuters, Associated Press, and official White House travel records.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
First to visit Ukraine: Trump or Putin?
If Donald Trump is elected president, where will he go on his first foreign trip?
Will Trump visit Ukraine during his term?
42% chance
Will Donald Trump ever visit Ukraine?
32% chance
Trump's first international trip
Will Trump visit Russia during his term?
62% chance
Will Donald Trump ever visit Russia?
82% chance
Will Trump visit Russia during 2025?
43% chance
Will a US President visit Ukraine in 2025?
20% chance
Will Trump host a summit with both Putin and Zelensky during 2025?
10% chance