Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Christopher Luxon is the Prime Minister of New Zealand on February 1, 2027. Resolution will be determined by checking official New Zealand government sources, such as the Beehive website (https://www.beehive.govt.nz/), which lists the current Prime Minister.

Background

Luxon was sworn into office on November 27, 2023, leading the National Party in a coalition government. The last legal date for the next general election is 19 December 2026, meaning a new Prime Minister could potentially take office between now and February 1, 2027 if an election is held and a different party wins. Opinion polls show that Luxon's lack of popularity has deepened over his first 18 months in office, though recent polling suggests some stabilization.