How many women <= 25 y.o. will manifold.love have as users at the end of 2025?
15
225Ṁ701Jan 1
85 users
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
76%
Below 50
13%
50 - 99
2%
100 - 199
2%
200 - 299
1.7%
300 - 499
1.4%
500 - 699
1.4%
700 - 999
1.4%
1000+
Resolution method: go to https://www.manifold.love/ and filter by gender, chose "woman", then by age, chose <= 25, chosing "active" rather than "new". Note in particular that the referent of "woman" is explicitly delegated to manifold.love's own categorization (which for all I know might change).
Market hacking (e.g., creating fake profiles) is against the spirit of this question and I may adjust for it.
As of market creation, there are 57 such users.
If manifold.love doesn't exist, market resolves as <50.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Note in particular that the referent of "woman" is explicitly delegated to manifold.love's own categorization (which for all I know might change).
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