750m swimming, 5K running, 20K on a bike. I'm in pretty bad shape, but I intend to go slowly.
At a slow pace, 750m swimming = half an hour, 5k running = an hour, 20km bike = an hour.
This site: https://www.triathlete.com/training/dear-coach-what-is-a-good-triathlon-time-for-a-beginner/ claims that a good triathlon time is 1.5 hours, that would be an hour more. Then the question is whether I can do 2.5h of excercise, which I think I can.
To clarify, the triathlon in happening near the middle of May
💬 Proven correct
Nuño Sempere bought M$50 of YES20 days ago
I am pushing the try harder button on account: https://manifold.markets/MishaYagudin/will-i-finish-a-triathlon-4ea28f3c991e
Nuño Sempere made M$38!
S G is betting YES at 59% 8 days ago
I knew you could do it! Congrats.
Rachel Shu is betting NO at 59% 8 days ago
Congrats! :D
James Grugett is betting YES at 59% 9 days ago
Congrats! 🎉
Nuño Sempere is betting YES at 59% 9 days ago
I ended up finishing this in 2:18. This question resolves positively.
Nuño Sempere is betting YES at 60% 20 days ago
^of account of:
Nuño Sempere bought M$50 of YES20 days ago
I am pushing the try harder button on account: https://manifold.markets/MishaYagudin/will-i-finish-a-triathlon-4ea28f3c991e
agrippa bought M$10 of YES20 days ago
people usually finish triathlons
Rachel Shu bought M$100 of NO21 days ago
Skeptical. I think you're looking at more like 4 hours untrained. If you're willing to slog it out, you and your backers deserve it.
Undox bought M$10 of YES24 days ago
Normally I would be skeptical, but since you have created a market for it, I think you are motivated :-)
Austin bought M$20 of YESa month ago
Wow look at all these haters. I believe in you!
Alex L bought M$50 of NOa month ago
Also hoping to lose! Good luck.
Adam bought M$25 of NOa month ago
I hope to lose! good luck!
> Does it resolve N/A in case you don't start it?
No, it resolves as negative
James Grugett bought M$30 of YESa month ago
You can do it!
Daniel Reeves is betting YES at 52% a month ago
Does it resolve N/A in case you don't start it?