Will I finish a triathlon
16
167
Ṁ161
resolved May 17
Resolved
YES
750m swimming, 5K running, 20K on a bike. I'm in pretty bad shape, but I intend to go slowly. At a slow pace, 750m swimming = half an hour, 5k running = an hour, 20km bike = an hour. This site: https://www.triathlete.com/training/dear-coach-what-is-a-good-triathlon-time-for-a-beginner/ claims that a good triathlon time is 1.5 hours, that would be an hour more. Then the question is whether I can do 2.5h of excercise, which I think I can. To clarify, the triathlon in happening near the middle of May
Get Ṁ200 play money

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predicted YES
I knew you could do it! Congrats.
predicted NO
Congrats! :D
predicted YES
Congrats! 🎉
predicted YES
I ended up finishing this in 2:18. This question resolves positively.
predicted YES
^of account of:
bought Ṁ50 of YES
I am pushing the try harder button on account: https://manifold.markets/MishaYagudin/will-i-finish-a-triathlon-4ea28f3c991e
bought Ṁ10 of YES
people usually finish triathlons
bought Ṁ100 of NO
Skeptical. I think you're looking at more like 4 hours untrained. If you're willing to slog it out, you and your backers deserve it.
bought Ṁ10 of YES
Normally I would be skeptical, but since you have created a market for it, I think you are motivated :-)
bought Ṁ20 of YES
Wow look at all these haters. I believe in you!
bought Ṁ50 of NO
Also hoping to lose! Good luck.
bought Ṁ25 of NO
I hope to lose! good luck!
> Does it resolve N/A in case you don't start it? No, it resolves as negative
bought Ṁ30 of YES
You can do it!
predicted YES
Does it resolve N/A in case you don't start it?

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