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MANIFOLD
Will I finish exactly 5th in the Serendipitous Pixies Platinum League (S2)
18
Ṁ350Ṁ4.7k
resolved Jul 1
Resolved
YES

When Season 2 finalizes (sometime during July 1st) this market will resolve YES if I (Noya) am in 5th place in the final rankings.

N/A if my account is deleted. NO otherwise.

Serendipitous Pixies

The final leaderboard

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predictedYES

https://manifold.markets/vincentpearce/will-i-earn-more-than-m4928-this-se?r=dmluY2VudHBlYXJjZQ

Will I earn more than Ṁ4,928 this season?
53% chance. I finished the most recent Leagues season with Ṁ4,928 earned but can I beat it? Previous seasons totals: S1: Ṁ6,476 S2: Ṁ4,928 Closes at the end of the initial countdown. Resolves at the end of the random time period once totals have stopped moving. Will only resolve early if its b…
predictedYES

Still no final rankings in sight, so I will extend the betting period all the way to the last possible time leaderboards could be published.

The gap between 5th and 4th has fluctuated by quite a lot, and is now down to 56!

predictedYES

Moved the close time once again. Hopefully the final rankings are published before then!

You're ahead by exactly one

😂

predictedNO

@JosephNoonan now they're back in 5th. Team NO, we need to find a way to manipulate Noya's mana earned to bring them back to 4th place!

predictedYES

Moving the deadline further back until we get the final leaderboards

predictedYES

24h remain. I could still overtake Vincent

@NoyaV You could, but with a yes holding I assume you would rather keep unrealised profits for next month. But it might happen despite not wanting it to happen.