2024 US Presidential Election: First vs Second Place Percentage Difference
Plus
15
Ṁ719Nov 7
4%
<1%
41%
1% - 3%
45%
3% - 5%
6%
5% - 8%
4%
>8%
Using the 2020 elections as an example: Biden got 51.3% of the votes, while Trump got 46.8%. Had there been a market like this one at the time, the (absolute) difference would have been 51.3 - 46.8 = 4.5, and the answer would have been [3% - 5%].
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
What will be the margin of victory (in number of electors) for the 2024 US Presidential election?
Will the third most popular candidate in the 2024 US presidential election receive X% or more of the popular vote?
How large will the popular vote margin be in the 2024 presidential election?
How large is the (optimal) voter margin for the US 2024 Presidential Election?
What will be the popular vote margin between the top two candidates in the 2024 US presidential election?
2024 Turnout vs Election Winner
Open Answer: What will be the (absolute) Electoral College margin in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2024 Presidential Election Result Markets:
2024 US Election: Will a third-party candidate get 2%?
6% chance
What percentage of the vote will the third most popular candidate get in the 2024 Presidential Election?