2024 US Presidential Election: First vs Second Place Percentage Difference
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19
Ṁ6956resolved Nov 18
100%99.0%
1% - 3%
0.1%
<1%
0.7%
3% - 5%
0.1%
5% - 8%
0.1%
>8%
Using the 2020 elections as an example: Biden got 51.3% of the votes, while Trump got 46.8%. Had there been a market like this one at the time, the (absolute) difference would have been 51.3 - 46.8 = 4.5, and the answer would have been [3% - 5%].
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