Will there be a government shutdown in the US in 2023?16%
Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2023?16%
Will the US government shut down on Oct 1st, 2023 because Congress fails to pass a budget?16%
Will the US government default (fail to pay its bills on time, not just Treasury debt) in 2023?5%
Will the US default on its debt by the end of 2023?5%
Will the US debt ceiling be raised in 2023?99%
Will the US debt ceiling be raised by the end of June 2023? (M$10,000 subsidy)98%
Will the US government default on Treasury bond debt in 2023?2%
Will the US issue debt exceeding the debt ceiling in 2023? (e.g. by the 14th Amendment or "least illegal" principle)3%
Will the US debt ceiling be raised by the end of November 2023?98%
Will a US State declare a Federal law to be null and void during 2023?11%
Will the US debt ceiling be raised by the end of July 2023?98%
Will the US debt ceiling be raised by the end of October 2023?98%
Will the US debt ceiling be raised by the end of August 2023?98%
Will the United States default on its sovereign debt before July 1, 2023?4%
Will the US debt ceiling be raised by the end of September 2023?98%
Will the US call a federal constitutional convention by end of 2023?2%
Conditional on the U.S. defaulting on its debt in 2023, would it actually be catastrophic?72%
Will the US make daylight savings time permanent in 2023?7%
Will the US issue debt via Special-Purpose Entities in 2023?1%
