Will Mariupol fall by April?
35
137
แน€135
resolved Mar 31
Resolved
NO
This question resolves to Yes if Russia occupies Mariupol in Ukraine by the deadline.
Get แน€200 play money

Related questions

๐Ÿ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1แน€133
2แน€108
3แน€89
4แน€48
5แน€41
5 Comments
34 Holders
55 Trades
Sort by:
bought แน€40 of NO
https://www.understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/Mariupol%20Battle%20Map%20Draft%20March%2030%2C2022.png
bought แน€40 of NO
Getting down to the wire but the Institute for the Study of War's day-by-day updates indicate that there's still active fighting in Mariupol, so not yet 'fallen'.
bought แน€100 of YES
Update: https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2022/03/28/europe/mariupol-mayor-ukraine-occupiers-intl/index.html
bought แน€15 of YES
I created "Will Mariupol fall by May?" https://manifold.markets/M/will-mariupol-fall-by-may
bought แน€60 of YES
We're now talking about which city landmarks Russian troops have control of, feels like they're close https://militaryland.net/ukraine/invasion-day-29-summary/

Related questions