Where will the 2030 World Cup be hosted?
14
880Ṁ2759
resolved Oct 5
100%64%
Spain, Portugal, Morocco, Uruguay, Argentina and Paraguay
0.2%Other
0.3%
Spain, Portugal, Ukraine
0.1%
Spain and Portugal
0.1%
Morocco
0.6%
Uruguay, Argentina, Chile, Paraguay
0.0%
Colombia, Ecuador and Peru
34%
Spain, Portugal and Morocco
0.0%
China
0.1%
Australia and Indonesia
0.0%
Australia and New Zealand
0.0%
Egypt, Greece and Saudi Arabia
0.0%
Israel, United Arab Emirates and Bahrain
0.3%
Spain, Portugal, Morocco and Ukraine

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ800
2Ṁ165
3Ṁ94
4Ṁ32
5Ṁ16
Sort by:

Seems like a wrong resolution to me, as only three countries are described as the host countries.

@Domer even as a YES holder, I feel this way as well. If the question was "where will the WC be played" it would be more ambiguous, but I think with regard to "host countries" the wordings are actually pretty clear.

@HenriThunberg @Domer It seems that South America will not be eligible to host a World Cup in 2034, which I interpret as meaning that these games are counted as 'hosting'. All six teams will also be given automatic qualification to the tournament, which I'm quite sure FIFA rules reserve only for 'hosts'. Granted, the language is vague and I have seen references to both six hosts and three hosts in the media, so probably it would have been fairer to accept the three host answer as well.

Will you resolve according to the winning bid, or the actual countries where were games will be hosted?

@egroj winning bid

@Nostradamnedus So the winning bid was Morocco, Spain, and Portugal. Those are also the host nations. This is not how you resolved the market.

@Domer Apologies, I understood the question as asking whether I would wait to see if there are changes in the host countries by the time the games are actually played. So I meant that the declared 'host countries' will be the final resolution (see my other comment).

Related:

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules