Will LK-99 MRIs be sold commercially by 2028?
11
23
Ṁ1.9kṀ1k
2028
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
anywhere in the world -- the US will take time due to the FDA
commercially means not an artisan selling a one-off on ebay
LK99 has already been shown to have 0 resistance at 110K, 100K higher than the next most cost-effective superconductor and well above the boiling point of liquid nitrogen, 77K. see https://twitter.com/Andercot/status/1686805961124855810?s=20
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Conditional on LK-99 replicating, will a RTSC be used commercially by 2026?
57% chance
In 2028, will any major hospital advertise the use of AI as the primary method of diagnosis of human patients?
32% chance
If LK-99 is confirmed to be a superconductor, will it produce more than 100 million USD by 2025?
25% chance
Conditional on any room-temp superconductor being replicated before 2025, will the main LK-99 market resolve YES?
33% chance
Will a fully functional brain-computer interface be commercially available by 2030?
43% chance
Will something distinct to LK-99 achieve greater virality on Manifolds Markets before 2025?
70% chance
Will we develop a commercial computer to brain interface by 2028?
53% chance
Will Neuralink release a mass market commercial neural implant by 2030?
26% chance
Will LK-99 be in commercial use by the end of 2024
2% chance