Will the UK withdraw from the European Court of Human Rights?
6
71
130
2033
24%
chance

Resolves YES if the UK ceases to be a signatory to the ECHR before the close date. This will include both the UK choosing to leave as well as being ejected as Russia was in 2022.

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bought Ṁ50 of NO

Background to this: the current UK government has been denouncing the ECHR for some time, and a few members of the Conservative Party are suggesting that they’d fight the next election with “leave the ECHR” as a manifesto policy.

I think it’d be unbelievably stupid to do so, but I thought that about Brexit, so maybe I shouldn’t rule it out?

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