
This refers to the next general election to take place electing representatives to the UK parliament following December 2019.
Market resolves 100% to the party with the winning candidate.
Please submit answers in the form of a political party, not an individual. If you wish to submit an individual who will run as an independent, please submit your answer in the form: 'Independent: [person's name]'. If anybody submits 'Independent' as an answer, it will not resolve YES, even if an independent wins.
'Labour' and 'Labour and Co-operative' will be treated interchangeably.
I may bet in this market.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ38 | |
2 | Ṁ35 | |
3 | Ṁ29 | |
4 | Ṁ23 | |
5 | Ṁ19 |
the latest polling, which factors in local demographics and voting habits in specific seats, predicts Denyer will defeat Debbonaire in the new constituency. The “multi-level regression and post-stratification” approach, which successfully predicted the 2017 and 2019 elections, suggests the Green party will pick up just over 50% of votes in Bristol Central, with Labour taking almost 40%.