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MANIFOLD
Will Rishi Sunak win a Conservative Party Confidence Vote?
6
Ṁ90Ṁ89
resolved Jul 21
Resolved
N/A

Conditional on the below market, if Sunak faces a Conservative Party Vote of Confidence (NOT a parliamentary vote), will he win and remain leader (YES) or will he be replaced (NO).

Resolves N/A if there is no party VoNC before the next general election, or if a vote is called but does not take place due to e.g. a general election.

https://manifold.markets/Noit/will-rishi-sunak-face-a-conservativ?r=Tm9pdA

Will Rishi Sunak face a Conservative Vote of No Confidence before the next general election?
50% chance. This market resolves YES if 15% of Conservative MPs submit letters of no confidence to the 1922 committee before polling day for the next UK General Election following 2019 and a Vote of No Confidence is triggered. This market will not resolve YES if a parliamentary vote of no confidence is submitted by an opposition party. Resolves NO on polling day of the next GE if not resolved before.
Market context
UK
UK Politics
UK Conservative Party
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@mods this needs N/Aing, it cannot resolve.

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