Will Labour u-turn on the Winter Fuel Allowance within two months?
10
1kṀ3664Aug 31
22%
chance
51
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Following reporting, this market resolves YES if the Labour Party have u-turned and confirmed by market close that the WFA will be available for winter 2025. Does not require legislation passed to resolve YES, a press statement is sufficient.
Increases to means-tested pensioner payments or other related benefits will not trigger a YES. It must be a full cancellation of the previous revocation, restoring the WFA policy and keeping the payment at a similar level to it was previously.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will labour keep their majority for over ten years?
31% chance
Will the triple lock pension be scrapped before the next General Election?
45% chance
Will Labour's planned inheritance tax on UK farms over £1m be scrapped before April 2026?
7% chance
Will Labour form a 2 term government?
46% chance
Will the Labour Party win the next UK general election?
47% chance
2x2: Will Labour get majority, will fossil fuels (without imports) compose >33% of UK energy gen next Parliament?
Conditional on Labour winning the next UK Election, will they recover £1B of fraudulent COVID loans?
10% chance
Will Labour introduce a wealth tax?
26% chance