Will a UK General Election be held during Q2 2024?
143
1.1K
1.4K
Jun 30
7%
chance

Will a UK General Election be held with a polling date between 1st April and 30th June 2024?

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
bought Ṁ0 of NO

@mattyb

Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has said his “working assumption” is that a general election will take place in the second half of the year.

Elections ahead for Hertfordshire voters as parties vye for power across the county

predicts NO

BBC: Rishi Sunak suggests general election in second half of year

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-67883242

predicts YES

Multiple small signals point to May; first the budget, and now various delays on promised reports:

Emily Thornberry, the shadow attorney general, said: “One of the ways we know the government is gearing up for an election in May is that they have started running down the clock on all kinds of publications in the hope of delaying disclosure until the purdah period kicks in."

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/dec/29/uk-ministers-asked-to-explain-fourth-delay-to-covid-wine-cellar-report