Which party will win the by-election in the Runcorn and Helsby constituency, following the sentencing of Mike Amesbury MP
Resolves “No by-election held this parliament” if there is no by-election before the next general election. Otherwise resolves to the party which takes the most votes and so fields an MP to parliament.
1,000Independent candidate has his site up, with very little info other than you can play him at chess on chess.com.
Britain Elects report on the upcoming by-election, agreeing with current betting that it's 60%-ish in favour of Labour. Noting that the by-election will most likely be the same day as May local elections, I have updated the closing date to match close of polls.
Mike Amesbury is standing down, so the only thing stopping this by-election happening would be a surprise general election.