Will the Russia Ukraine war end by 2023?
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resolved Jan 1
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https://manifold.markets/Daniel_MC/when-will-the-russian-invasion-of-u?r=RGFuaWVsX01D

When will the Russian invasion of Ukraine end? ($1000M sub)
I will resolve based on the (de facto) end date on this Wikipedia page: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine I will wait until the end date has been the same for a full 24 hour period. I will resolve in line with the Wikipedia editors unless it's clear that this is not in line with the "spirit" of the question. The spirit of the question is about when the armed conflict substantially stops regardless of who controls what territory. A temporary ceasefire does not count. [image]I may change the criteria to clarify questions or fix flaws. I will not bet in this market.

It will never end because it never began.

@MarkIngraham the economic war started since a long time https://www.wikiwand.com/en/Economic_warfare

predicted NO

This is supposed to be by the end of 2023? Title subtly incorrect.

predicted YES

@DouglasCampbell “By” can mean by the end of year.

predicted NO

@Ibozz91 Confusing. But, seems I can't sell my shares somehow.

predicted NO

Looks like the creator of this market has been MIA from metaculus for months.

predicted NO

@JonathanRay I mean manifold!

Fix the closing date to be consistent with the title?

the end date is inconsitenst with the title

Will the Russia Ukraine war end by 2023?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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