Evaluated vs. my guess about the counterfactual world where I don't use Manifold Markets that often. If I don't use Manifold Markets for more than 15 hours, this market will resolve N/A.

Dec 25, 1:33pm: At the end of 2024, if I use Manifold Markets for more than 15 hours, will I think that using Manifold Markets over the last year has been net-positive or net-negative? → At the end of 2024, if I use Manifold Markets for more than 15 hours, will I think that using Manifold Markets over the last year has been net-positive or net-negative? (subsidized 550M)

Dec 25, 1:34pm: At the end of 2024, if I use Manifold Markets for more than 15 hours, will I think that using Manifold Markets over the last year has been net-positive or net-negative? (subsidized 550M) → At the end of 2023, if I use Manifold Markets for more than 15 hours, will I think that using Manifold Markets over the last year has been net-positive or net-negative? (subsidized 550M)

net-positive = YES

net-negative = NO