Background

While there is significant scientific interest in the search for extraterrestrial life, current scientific consensus does not support the possibility of aliens freely walking around on Earth in 2025. NASA and other space agencies are focused on detecting potential microbial life or biosignatures on other planets and moons within our solar system, or identifying signs of life on distant exoplanets through telescopic observations.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve as YES if there is widely documented and verified evidence of extraterrestrial beings freely walking among humans on Earth at any point during the calendar year 2025. The evidence must be:

• Acknowledged by multiple reputable scientific institutions

• Covered by major international news organizations

• Confirmed by relevant government agencies

The market will resolve as NO if:

• No aliens are observed walking freely on Earth during 2025

• Any claimed sightings are debunked or lack credible evidence

• The only evidence consists of unverified photos, videos, or witness testimonies

Considerations

• The James Webb Space Telescope and other scientific missions may discover evidence of extraterrestrial life in the coming years, but this would likely be in the form of microbial life or biosignatures, not advanced beings capable of visiting Earth

• Claims of alien contact should be evaluated with extreme skepticism, as there is a long history of hoaxes and misidentified phenomena

• Any genuine first contact scenario would likely involve extensive government and military involvement, rather than aliens immediately walking freely among humans