Update 2025-04-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Definition of Aliens Clarification
Extraterrestrial Life: Refers to microbial life, biosignatures (only if NASA publicly states they are evidence of life), or direct detection via instruments or sample return.
Intelligent Life Not Required: The discovery does not need to be of intelligent life.
Public Acknowledgement by NASA: Findings must be publicly acknowledged by NASA as extraterrestrial in origin. Peer-reviewed findings alone do not qualify unless NASA confirms or endorses them.
Update 2025-04-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Definitive Public Statement Requirement:
The finding must be communicated through a definitive public statement by NASA.
Speculative or tentative language (e.g., "could be," "suggests," "possibly") does not meet the criteria.
Resolution is based on whether NASA determines the evidence to be conclusive.
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@Haiku For the purposes of this market, ‘aliens’ refers to extraterrestrial life, including microbial life, biosignatures in the atmosphere of exoplanets (only if NASA publicly states they constitute evidence of life), or direct detection of non-Earth-origin biology via instruments or sample return. It does not require intelligent life. The discovery must be publicly acknowledged by NASA as extraterrestrial in origin; peer-reviewed findings alone do not qualify unless NASA confirms or endorses them based on direct access to the data.
@AnonymesGurteltier Thanks! That helps a lot. "Constitute evidence of life" is still loose though. Do you mean conclusive evidence? (i.e. a 5 sigma result or the colloquial term "conclusive evidence" or a statement to the effect that NASA believes they have found extraterrestrial life)
@Haiku The finding must be a definitive public statement by NASA confirming the existence of extraterrestrial life. Speculative or tentative language, as well as preliminary findings (e.g., “could be,” “suggests,” or “possibly”), do not qualify. Relevant for the resolution is whether NASA determines the evidence to be conclusive.